Universal HealthcareBy NextBestFit
Part 1

Costs

138 cost items that make up U.S. health spending, broken down by service, payer, occupation (head count × average wage), industry payroll, hospital cost structure, drug R&D and manufacturing, insurance and intermediaries, administration, waste, liability, fraud, training, long-term care, margins, and capital. Many items overlap (a nurse's wage is inside hospital spending), so only categories marked "adds up" can be summed.

National spending by service

ItemHow it is builtAmount
Hospital careOut of pocket $40.6B + Private health insurance $558.9B + Medicare $439.8B + Medicaid $318.9B + Other insurance programs (CHIP, DoD, VA) $103.3B + Other third-party payers & programs $173.2B$1.63T
Physician & clinical servicesOut of pocket $94.3B + Private health insurance $505.1B + Medicare $251.2B + Medicaid $112.5B + Other insurance programs (CHIP, DoD, VA) $48B + Other third-party payers & programs $98.7B$1.11T
Other professional servicesOut of pocket $44.8B + Private health insurance $57.3B + Medicare $47.5B + Medicaid $17.1B + Other insurance programs (CHIP, DoD, VA) $0.8B + Other third-party payers & programs $17.3B$184.9B
Dental servicesOut of pocket $72.5B + Private health insurance $78.2B + Medicare $12.6B + Medicaid $15.2B + Other insurance programs (CHIP, DoD, VA) $6.7B + Other third-party payers & programs $4B$189.2B
Other health, residential & personal careOut of pocket $11.2B + Private health insurance $21.1B + Medicare $4.6B + Medicaid $199.8B + Other insurance programs (CHIP, DoD, VA) $3.8B + Other third-party payers & programs $79.9B$320.5B
Home health careOut of pocket $30.4B + Private health insurance $37.3B + Medicare $55.7B + Medicaid $38.2B + Other insurance programs (CHIP, DoD, VA) $1.7B + Other third-party payers & programs $6.1B$169.4B
Nursing facilities & continuing-care communitiesOut of pocket $48.7B + Private health insurance $19.3B + Medicare $47.3B + Medicaid $78.9B + Other insurance programs (CHIP, DoD, VA) $7B + Other third-party payers & programs $18.7B$219.9B
Retail prescription drugsOut of pocket $55B + Private health insurance $172.1B + Medicare $162.8B + Medicaid $53.9B + Other insurance programs (CHIP, DoD, VA) $16.9B + Other third-party payers & programs $6.3B$467.0B
Durable medical equipmentOut of pocket $35.8B + Private health insurance $18.9B + Medicare $18.5B + Medicaid $11.5B + Other insurance programs (CHIP, DoD, VA) $0.3B + Other third-party payers & programs $1.3B$86.4B
Other non-durable medical productsOut of pocket $123.2B + Medicare $5.5B$128.7B
Government administrationMedicare $15B + Medicaid $40.1B + Other insurance programs (CHIP, DoD, VA) $8.1B + Other third-party payers & programs $2.9B$66.1B
Net cost of health insurancePrivate health insurance $176.5B + Medicare $57.6B + Medicaid $45.5B + Other insurance programs (CHIP, DoD, VA) $2B + Other third-party payers & programs $24.4B$306.0B
Government public health activityGovernment public health $157.6B$157.6B
Non-commercial researchInvestment $70.4B$70.4B
Structures & equipmentInvestment $168.2B$168.2B
Total (adds up)$5.28T

Who pays (2024)

ItemHow it is builtAmount
Private businesses: Employer share of job-based insurance premiumsCMS NHE Tables 5-1 to 5-4$753.1B
Private businesses: Employer Medicare payroll tax (1.45%)CMS NHE Tables 5-1 to 5-4$159.2B
Private businesses: Workers' comp, worksite clinics, temporary disabilityCMS NHE Tables 5-1 to 5-4$55.1B
Households: Worker share of job-based insurance premiumsCMS NHE Tables 5-1 to 5-4$382.1B
Households: Individually purchased insurance (net of subsidies)CMS NHE Tables 5-1 to 5-4$86.3B
Households: Medical portion of auto & property insuranceCMS NHE Tables 5-1 to 5-4$55.3B
Households: Worker & self-employed Medicare payroll taxCMS NHE Tables 5-1 to 5-4$246.4B
Households: Medicare Part B & D premiumsCMS NHE Tables 5-1 to 5-4$132.3B
Households: Out-of-pocket spendingCMS NHE Tables 5-1 to 5-4$556.6B
Other private (philanthropy, investment income): Philanthropy, provider investment income, private researchCMS NHE Tables 5-1 to 5-4$340.5B
Federal government: Federal employer premiums (FEHB)CMS NHE Tables 5-1 to 5-4$46.7B
Federal government: Federal employer Medicare payroll taxCMS NHE Tables 5-1 to 5-4$5.8B
Federal government: Medicare general revenue & net trust fund drawCMS NHE Tables 5-1 to 5-4$509.6B
Federal government: Federal share of MedicaidCMS NHE Tables 5-1 to 5-4$596.7B
Federal government: Federal Medicare buy-in premiums for dual eligiblesCMS NHE Tables 5-1 to 5-4$16.1B
Federal government: Retiree drug subsidyCMS NHE Tables 5-1 to 5-4$0.5B
Federal government: VA, DoD, CHIP (federal), IHS and other federal programsCMS NHE Tables 5-1 to 5-4$306.8B
Federal government: Federal public healthCMS NHE Tables 5-1 to 5-4$35.4B
Federal government: Other federal programsCMS NHE Tables 5-1 to 5-4$17.9B
Federal government: ACA Marketplace tax credits & subsidiesCMS NHE Tables 5-1 to 5-4$116.6B
State & local government: State & local employer premiumsCMS NHE Tables 5-1 to 5-4$246.8B
State & local government: State & local employer Medicare payroll taxCMS NHE Tables 5-1 to 5-4$19.9B
State & local government: State share of MedicaidCMS NHE Tables 5-1 to 5-4$335.0B
State & local government: State Medicare buy-in premiumsCMS NHE Tables 5-1 to 5-4$10.7B
State & local government: State & local health programs (CHIP share, hospitals, etc.)CMS NHE Tables 5-1 to 5-4$84.2B
State & local government: State & local public healthCMS NHE Tables 5-1 to 5-4$122.1B
State & local government: Other state & local programsCMS NHE Tables 5-1 to 5-4$40.9B
Total (adds up)$5.28T

Clinician & staff wages

ItemHow it is builtAmount
Physicians (all specialties)754,760 people × $277,260 average annual wage$209.3B
Family medicine physicians107,510 people × $255,820 average annual wage$27.5B
General internal medicine physicians67,150 people × $267,200 average annual wage$17.9B
Pediatricians39,390 people × $212,110 average annual wage$8.4B
Psychiatrists27,980 people × $269,940 average annual wage$7.6B
Anesthesiologists38,760 people × $360,570 average annual wage$14.0B
Surgeons49,380 people × $364,360 average annual wage$18.0B
Registered nurses3,379,720 people × $101,420 average annual wage$342.8B
Nurse practitioners323,040 people × $137,300 average annual wage$44.4B
Nurse anesthetists51,840 people × $248,320 average annual wage$12.9B
Physician assistants162,150 people × $141,280 average annual wage$22.9B
Licensed practical nurses648,410 people × $67,050 average annual wage$43.5B
Nursing assistants1,448,910 people × $42,700 average annual wage$61.9B
Home health & personal care aides4,305,810 people × $36,120 average annual wage$155.5B
Pharmacists321,970 people × $140,920 average annual wage$45.4B
Pharmacy technicians471,680 people × $46,620 average annual wage$22.0B
Dentists (general)124,390 people × $191,350 average annual wage$23.8B
Dental hygienists222,740 people × $98,990 average annual wage$22.0B
Dental assistants387,790 people × $50,200 average annual wage$19.5B
Optometrists42,790 people × $141,550 average annual wage$6.1B
Opticians73,530 people × $51,770 average annual wage$3.8B
Audiologists13,660 people × $97,740 average annual wage$1.3B
Medical assistants817,870 people × $46,120 average annual wage$37.7B
Physical therapists267,330 people × $105,280 average annual wage$28.1B
Physical therapist assistants112,430 people × $68,730 average annual wage$7.7B
Occupational therapists162,450 people × $101,280 average annual wage$16.5B
Respiratory therapists139,790 people × $87,300 average annual wage$12.2B
Radiologic technologists230,490 people × $83,840 average annual wage$19.3B
Clinical lab technologists & technicians332,940 people × $67,350 average annual wage$22.4B
Surgical technologists117,460 people × $68,710 average annual wage$8.1B
EMTs & paramedics281,120 people × $52,750 average annual wage$14.8B
Clinical & counseling psychologists75,990 people × $112,750 average annual wage$8.6B
Substance use, behavioral & mental health counselors491,930 people × $64,440 average annual wage$31.7B
Healthcare social workers187,630 people × $71,790 average annual wage$13.5B
Medical & health services managers597,080 people × $140,970 average annual wage$84.2B
Medical secretaries & administrative assistants961,610 people × $46,800 average annual wage$45.0B
Medical records specialists (coders)194,720 people × $56,790 average annual wage$11.1B
Health information technologists38,100 people × $74,970 average annual wage$2.9B
Claims adjusters, examiners & investigators (all industries)324,230 people × $80,470 average annual wage$26.1B
Insurance claims & policy processing clerks (all industries)214,260 people × $52,920 average annual wage$11.3B

Health industries: payroll

ItemHow it is builtAmount
Offices of physicians2,936,460 employees × $106,660 average wage$313.2B
Offices of dentists1,054,930 employees × $79,690 average wage$84.1B
Offices of other practitioners (therapy, chiropractic, optometry)1,305,160 employees × $71,550 average wage$93.4B
Outpatient care centers1,182,730 employees × $87,320 average wage$103.3B
Medical & diagnostic laboratories309,310 employees × $78,200 average wage$24.2B
Home health care services1,789,480 employees × $52,560 average wage$94.1B
Other ambulatory care (ambulance, blood banks)369,130 employees × $64,440 average wage$23.8B
Hospitals6,712,760 employees × $89,180 average wage$598.6B
Nursing & residential care facilities3,395,180 employees × $50,770 average wage$172.4B
Health & personal care retailers (pharmacies)1,076,240 employees × $56,830 average wage$61.2B
Pharmaceutical & medicine manufacturing348,780 employees × $91,390 average wage$31.9B
Medical equipment & supplies manufacturing330,970 employees × $76,220 average wage$25.2B
Health & medical insurance carriers451,820 employees × $93,210 average wage$42.1B

Hospital cost structure

ItemHow it is builtAmount
Hospital labor (wages, benefits, contract staff)56% of total hospital expenses (AHA estimate from Strata benchmarks, 2024)$890.0B
Hospital medical supplies13% of total hospital expenses (AHA estimate from Strata benchmarks, 2024)$202.0B
Hospital drugs9% of total hospital expenses (AHA estimate from Strata benchmarks, 2024)$144.0B
Other hospital costs (purchased services, IT, facilities, insurance, depreciation)22% of total hospital expenses (AHA estimate from Strata benchmarks, 2024)$352.0B
Total (adds up)$1.59T

Drugs: R&D, manufacturing & distribution

ItemHow it is builtAmount
Pharmaceutical industry R&DCBO estimate for 2019: about a quarter of the industry's net revenue$83.0B
Drug manufacturing payroll (U.S.)348,780 employees × $91,390$31.9B
Insulin: production cost per vialEstimated $2–6 per vial (human insulin about $2.28–3.42, analogs about $3.69–6.16)$6
Big Three PBM dispensing markups above acquisition cost (2017–2022, total)FTC interim staff report$7.3B
Pharmacy & drugstore payroll1,076,240 employees × $56,830$61.2B
Medical device & supply manufacturing payroll330,970 employees × $76,220$25.2B

Insurance & intermediaries

ItemHow it is builtAmount
Private insurer overhead & profit (net cost of insurance)Premiums minus benefits, private health insurance$176.5B
Medicare Advantage & Part D plan overheadNet cost of insurance, Medicare column$57.6B
Medicaid managed-care plan overheadNet cost of insurance, Medicaid column$45.5B
Health insurer net earnings (average 2023–2024)($25B + $9B) ÷ 2$42.0B
Broker & agent commissions and marketing (estimate)About 2% of private premiums$32.0B
State premium taxes on health insurers (estimate)1–3% of fully insured premiums$18.0B
Health insurer payroll451,820 employees × $93,210$42.1B
Surprise-billing arbitration (IDR) costs, per yearAt least $5B through 2024, about $2–2.5B a year$2.3B

Administration

ItemHow it is builtAmount
Total administrative spending (payers + providers)About 25% of spending (2019 base); $265B removable with existing interventions$950.0B
Hospitals' cost of collecting payment from insurersAHA 2026 estimate$43.0B

Waste

ItemHow it is builtAmount
Waste: administrative complexityMidpoint of published estimate$266.0B
Waste: pricing failure$231–241B$236.0B
Waste: failure of care delivery$102–166B$134.0B
Waste: overtreatment & low-value care$76–101B$88.5B
Waste: fraud & abuse$59–84B$71.5B
Waste: failure of care coordination$27–78B$52.5B

Liability

ItemHow it is builtAmount
Medical liability system (2008 dollars)Payments, legal costs, lost time, and defensive medicine; 2.4% of spending$55.6B
Defensive medicine (2008 dollars)Part of the liability total$45.6B

Fraud & improper payments

ItemHow it is builtAmount
Fraud at 3% of 2024 spending$5,278.6B × 3%$158.4B
Fraud at 10% of 2024 spending$5,278.6B × 10%$527.9B
Medicare FFS improper payments (7.7% rate)7.7% × Medicare hospital and physician spending (illustrative; CMS reports about $31B for FFS)$53.2B

Training the workforce

ItemHow it is builtAmount
Median medical school debt (per graduate)AAMC Class of 2024; 67% of graduates have debt$200,000
Average resident salaryMedscape 2024$70,000
Annual cost per residency position (estimate)Salary, benefits, teaching time, and overhead$150,000

Long-term & end-of-life care

ItemHow it is builtAmount
Medicare hospice spending (2023)1.7M beneficiaries, about 6,500 providers; $28.3B in 2024$25.7B
Home health & personal care aide wages4,305,810 aides × $36,120$155.5B
Nursing & residential care payroll3,395,180 employees × $50,770$172.4B

Margins & executive pay

ItemHow it is builtAmount
Hospital operating margin (median 4.9%, 2024), applied to hospital spending$1,634.7B × 4.9% (illustrative; margins vary widely and many hospitals lose money)$80.1B
Average nonprofit health system CEO payRice University study$1,300,000
Specialist vs. primary-care pay gap (anesthesiology vs. family medicine, mean wage)$360,570 − $255,820 (BLS means; specialty surveys show larger gaps)$104,750

Capital, research & public health

ItemHow it is builtAmount
Structures & equipmentCMS NHE 2024$168.2B
Non-commercial research (NIH etc.)CMS NHE 2024$70.4B
Government public healthCMS NHE 2024$157.6B