Enroll everyone automatically
Who is eligible
Who counts as a resident?
Leaving out roughly 11 million undocumented residents would keep EMTALA-driven uncompensated emergency care, public-health gaps (infectious disease goes untreated), and the eligibility-verification bureaucracy that single payer is meant to remove. Their care is already in the 2024 baseline (uncompensated care, Emergency Medicaid, out-of-pocket). Covering them adds an estimated $25–40B in utilization, which is included in the utilization effect.
All residents after 90 days (chosen)
As described.
- +No verification bureaucracy at the point of care
- +Public-health benefits from treating contagious disease early
- −Politically very costly; the most common objection
- −A possible 'magnet' effect Evidence from Spain and others is weak, but voters believe it.
Precedent: Spain (restored 2018), Italy (STP card), Thailand (migrant health insurance).
Citizens and lawful residents only
Undocumented people get emergency care only.
- +Politically easier; saves about $25–40B a year
- −Requires status verification in every clinic, plus a billing system for the uncovered
- −Hospitals keep uncompensated care
Precedent: UK charges some overseas visitors; Canada covers permanent residents only.
- Political support from voters who oppose coverage for undocumented immigrants.
VA, TRICARE, and the Indian Health Service
Do the existing federal direct-care systems fold into UHP?
These are treaty, service, and readiness obligations with their own politics and legal basis. Merging them would add risk without adding savings.
Keep as delivery systems (chosen)
As described.
- +No disruption to veterans' care; honors tribal sovereignty
- −Keeps $306.8B of separate federal programs and some duplication
Fold into UHP
Single system for everyone.
- +Maximum simplicity
- −Veterans' organizations and tribes would strongly oppose
- Some administrative simplification.