Universal HealthcareBy NextBestFit

Fold Medicaid and CHIP into UHP

Year 4 (dual eligibles and children earlier) · States; UHADiscuss this step

Every existing law, program, institution, or practice this step changes: what it is today, what happens to it, when, and what that costs or trades off.

WhatTodayChangeTrade-off
Medicaid (acute care)
absorbedYears 1–4
Federal programs
84.3M enrollees; state-run with federal match (FMAP); income eligibility varies by state (10 states have not expanded); ~75% in managed care; annual redeterminations.Folded into UHP by age wave; acute-care eligibility rules, redeterminations, and managed-care contracts end. States pay a maintenance-of-effort amount instead of their share.
Federal share of Medicaid $596.7B → $596.7B
Enrollees go from the lowest-paying payer to the same rate as everyone; states lose program control.
Medicaid non-medical supports
amendedYear 4
Federal programs
Some states use Medicaid for housing supports and social-needs pilots (e.g., 1115 waivers).A residual, optional Medicaid continues for non-medical supports with federal match.Keeps innovation in social supports; continues some state-by-state variation.
ACA Basic Health Program (NY Essential Plan, MN MinnesotaCare, OR Bridge)
absorbedYears 1–4
Federal programs
State programs for people just above Medicaid income.Absorbed into UHP.Simplification; states lose a policy tool they built.
State Medicaid agencies
amendedYears 3–5
States & localities
Run eligibility, managed-care contracting, and payment.Wind down acute-care functions; some staff join UHA regional offices.Administrative savings; job losses in state government.
County indigent-care programs & public hospital subsidies
amendedYear 4
States & localities
Counties fund care for uninsured residents.Need largely ends; county funds can shift to public health.Local budget relief; counties must decide whether to keep public hospitals.